2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds, picks, predictions: Model fading Tyler Reddick at Go Bowling at The Glen

With only two races remaining in the regular season, the NASCAR Cup Series will return to road racing on Sunday for the 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen in Watkins Glen, New York. Watkins Glen International is a 2.45-mile road course that first hosted NASCAR in 1967. It’s been an annual fixture on the NASCAR schedule since 1986 except when the race was canceled in 2020 because of the COVID-19 pandemic. The 2022 NASCAR Playoffs begin next month and with 15 different drivers qualified already via a win, every driver without a win will push hard to get to victory lane the next two races. The green flag drops at 3 pm ET.

Kyle Larson won the 2021 Go Bowling at The Glen as part of his 10-win championship season and is 7-1 in the 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Hendrick Motorsports teammate Chase Elliott is well-established as the best road racer in the sport and the current leader in the NASCAR standings is the 9-2 favorite in the 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen odds. Before scouring the 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Watkins Glen predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Watkins Glen picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure’s model nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. In total, it nailed five of Larson’s wins during a historic season.

So far in 2022, it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and high on Logano again when he returned 14-1 on his win in St. Louis. Last week, it was much higher on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds implied and Harvick went on to capture the win at Michigan. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen leaderboard.

Top 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen predictions

For the 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen, the model is high on Daniel Suarez, even though he’s a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Suarez is currently 13th in the NASCAR standings and his one win this season virtually guarantees he’ll make the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs, but he is a strong road racer.

Suarez recorded his first career victory at Sonoma, and his Trackhouse Racing team has been one of the biggest surprises in NASCAR this season. He also has three other top-five finishes on road courses in his career, including a fifth-place finish earlier this season at Elkhart Lake. See which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a massive shocker: Tyler Reddick, one of the Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values ​​in the 2022 Go Bowling at The Glen starting lineup. Reddick is 14th in the 2022 NASCAR standings, but he’ll be worry-free down the stretch because his two victories this season automatically qualify him for the postseason.

That lack of urgency alone might be reason enough to fade the 26-year-old Richard Childress Racing driver, but he’s also been wildly inconsistent in recent starts. Reddick has been outside of the top 20 in four of his last six starts, including a 31st-place finish at Richmond last week and a 29th-place finish at Michigan the week prior. See which other favorites to avoid here.

How to make 2022 NASCAR Watkins Glen picks

The model is also targeting four other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Go Bowling at The Glen 2022? And which long shots make a run at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2022 NASCAR at Watkins Glen leaderboard, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Go Bowling at The Glen odds, field

See full NASCAR Watkins Glen picks, best bets, and predictions here

Chase Elliott 9-2
Tyler Reddick 13-2
Kyle Larson 7-1
Ross Chastain 17-2
Austin Cindric 10-1
Chase Briscoe 12-1
AJ Allmendinger 14-1
Daniel Suarez 15-1
Ryan Blaney 15-1
Christopher Bell 16-1
Kyle Busch 17-1
Martin Truex Jr. 20-1
Denny Hamlin 20-1
Chris Buescher 22-1
Joey Logano 25-1
Kevin Harvick 28-1
Michael McDowell 35-1
Alex Bowman 35-1
Brad Keselowski 35-1
William Byron 35-1
Kimi Raikkonen 50-1
Ty Gibbs 60-1
Cole Custer 150-1
Bubba Wallace 150-1
Erik Jones 150-1
Aric Almirola 200-1
Austin Dillon 200-1
Todd Gilliland 250-1
Justin Haley 250-1
Joey Hand 300-1
Ricky Stenhouse 500-1
Harrison Burton 500-1
Ty Dillon 1500-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Kyle Tillery 5000-1
Mike Rockenfeller 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Daniil Kvyat 5000-1
Loris Hezemans 5000-1

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