It’s never too early to start talking about college football. Despite Week Zero not kicking off for another 85 days, sportsbooks have had regular-season win totals posted as early as April.
Some bettors don’t like to have their money tied up for months, but sometimes it’s worthwhile to dedicate a portion of your bankroll when value arises. DraftKings Sportsbook was the latest legal sportsbook to post its regular-season win totals as of June 2.
We’ll break down four teams’ over/under win totals whose RSW presents betting value.
North Carolina State OVER 8.5 wins (-145)
It’s a bit juicy, but 2022 feels like the season where Dave Doeren and the Wolfpack become a namesake in the national conversation for the duration of the season.
Clemson, the ACC favorite, is undergoing a fair amount of turnover, and quarterback DJ Uiagalelei’s inconsistency is a red flag for a team hopeful of a return to the College Football Playoff.
Two of the Wolfpack’s three losses in 2021 were one-score games, signifying their competitiveness in virtually every contest. In what will likely end up being a competitive contest in Week 3 at home against Texas Tech, it’s certainly possible the Wolfpack enter the ACC conference slate with an unblemished record.
The Wolfpack will be road underdogs in their ACC opener against Clemson, but who’s to say they can’t upset the Tigers for a second-straight season?
Devin Leary’s pocket poise and accuracy make him a future NFL draft pick. Leary’s also a dark horse Heisman contender (+9900) if the Wolfpack are able to win the ACC and secure a spot in a New Year’s Six bowl.
Buy North Carolina State to be a nine-win team in 2022.
Nebraska OVER 7.5 wins (-120)
While the Huskers haven’t exceeded 7.5 wins since 2016, 2022 projects to be the season Big Red is back contending in the Big Ten West.
There’s undoubtedly a path to eight wins and the first bowl appearance for Scott Frost and company.
NU’s four-year starting quarterback Adrian Martinez has since transferred to Kansas State, but it’s looking more and more like ex-Texas quarterback Casey Thompson wins the starting QB job in 2022.
Fellow power five QB, ex-Florida State Seminole Chubba Purdy–brother of Iowa State’s Brock Purdy, the Cyclones’ all-time leader in passing yards –joined Nebraska in the offseason but spent time injured during spring ball. Purdy will compete for the starting job, but as things currently stand, Thompson has the upper hand.
The Huskers lucked out in their cross-division slate, as they’ll likely be an underdog in just one of their East-West contests, traveling to face Michigan inside the Big House on Nov. 12.
Additionally, Nebraska’s Sept. 17 home contest against Oklahoma isnt as daunting with the Sooners undergoing substantial personnel and coaching changes.
Back the Cornhuskers to get to eight wins.
Leaflet UNDER 9.5 wins (-115)
USC undoubtedly won the CFB offseason with the hiring of Lincoln Riley and additions of quarterback Caleb Williams and wide receiver Jordan Addison, but the betting markets are a bit too bullish towards the Trojans.
The trajectory of USC’s football program as a whole is skyrocketing, but to already bake in nine wins for Riley and company in year one is a bit premature.
USC’s skill position players are legit, but there’s still some uncertainty around the offensive and defensive lines.
After opening up as three-point road favorites against Utah on Oct. 15, the Trojans have been bet down to three-point road underdogs, as many college bettors made the smart move to bet against USC. Going into Rice-Eccles and taking down the Utes will be a tough task.
It’s also possible that the Trojans slip up against UCLA at the Rose Bowl and against Notre Dame in their regular-season finale.
It may be a contrarian take but bet the UNDER on USC’s regular-season win total.
Arizona State UNDER 6.5 wins (+105)
At +105, taking a shot at fading Arizona State in 2022 is a must. Arizona State has a tough 2022 schedule, with the path to seven wins looking unlikely.
Outside of home non-conference games in Northern Arizona and Eastern Michigan, there aren’t any shoo-in wins on the Sun Devil’s schedule.
Former three-year starting quarterback Jayden Daniels left the program for LSU in the offseason, leaving the Sun Devils in need of a new man under center. Arizona State is also amidst NCAA investigations for recruiting violations, as Herm Edwards’ tenure in Tempe has hit a standstill.
The Sun Devils have also lost nearly 30 players to the transfer portal, and return a total of only five starters on both offense and defense.
Bet on an underwhelming season for Arizona State in 2022